Thursday, May 1, 2014

Juggernaut: Indian General Election Part II

Picking from where I left yesterday, today I am going to put my analysis on the prospective BJP Govt and its PM nominee Narendra Modi.

First we need to see the state of BJP before the announcement of Narendra Modi as PM. In my view, BJP failed miserably as an opposition in the 15th Lok Sabha. It could not question Govt on issues like corruption, price rise and women safety. In fact Congress was even successful to lay the blame of non functioning of parliament on BJP. For general voters, BJP was loosing the ground (at least in urban space) as an alternative of Congress to IAC and later to AAP till few months back. But things started turning around with the nomination of Modi as Prime ministerial candidate of BJP. Modi's energetic campaigning has made BJP as the clear frontrunner to make the next Govt along with its coalition partners unless something dramatic is happening which is missed by all the pollsters. In India, Modi is one of the most talked about politician of this era. Nothing is moderate when it comes to Modi. He commands blind adulation from his supporters or intense contempt from his adversaries. There are reasons for both. In his reign, independent India witnessed its worst communal riot where more than thousand people lost their life. Modi never took moral responsibility for the abject failure of state administration during the riots nor did he apologize on behalf of his Govt. Modi looked visibly uneasy over the demand of apology from sections of media aftermath the riots and evaded the question related to communal violence completely on number of occasions. On the other hand, after the riots Modi has put his focus on development of Gujarat. He has provided relatively clean governance in Gujarat by adopting technology and removing red tape. Infrastructure has got a big boost under his watch. He initiated a no of programs to improve the opportunities in agriculture, medium and small scale industries, solar energy, social programs e.g. JyotiGram Yojana, high enrolment of girl child in primary schools etc. In addition to that Modi has mastered the art of marketing Gujarat story across all of India. One thing is clear that both the supporters and detractors of Modi have indulged into passionate arguments with each other without conceding the inherent dichotomy in Modi's personality which is decisive as well as divisive. In election campaigning so far Modi is staying away from hard-line approach and focusing on development and governance but it will be interesting to watch whether he is genuinely having a change of heart or being a shrewd politician. 

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